Saturday, June 04, 2005

Six Steps for Making Your Threat Credible

"In the classic game of Chicken, two drivers on a crash course speed toward each other. The rules are simple: Whoever swerves first and avoids collision loses, and whoever is brave enough to stay the course wins. Of course, when both drivers stay the course, they collide and die. Clearly, this is not a game for the faint-hearted. But bravado alone doesn't guarantee a win. Your opponent has to believe that you're gutsy enough to stay the course, or he may do the same until the very end. How do you win at Chicken? One approach would be to talk tough beforehand. You might behave irrationally to suggest that you wouldn't swerve even to save your life. Once the game begins, however, your threat simply may not be credible.

Now consider this strategy: Once the cars are headed directly toward each other, you unscrew your steering wheel and throw it out the window, making sure that your opponent sees you do it. Foolish? So it would seem, but your threat is now entirely credible. You can't change course even if you wanted to. It's up to your opponent to decide whether to lose the game or die. The odds are in your favor."

Link

4 Comments:

Ethan MacPhee said...

hey there. you have no idea who I am. Actually you sorta do.

Remember this?

She does not see me
She does not feel me
She does not need me
She does not want me

In the end it's fine
Losing rest, and losing time
In the end, it won't be my death
For one night I had her breath

I don't change I am the same
Show my smiles, hide my pain
I don't change I am the same
Cleanse my soul with the fallen rain

She does not see me.
She does not feel me.
She does not need me.
She does not want me.

In the end it's fine
Losing heart, throughout time
In the end I have seen
The poisoned path, the failing dream

I don't change, my heart is game
For all to taste, for some to feign
I don't change, I am entire
Just sometimes, my eyes lose their fire

I do not see me.
I do not feel me.
I do not need me.
But I do need her.
- Ethan MacPhee

Yeah, I'm Ethan. I was googling my name for the fun of it and found that you posted one of my works in your blogger a long time ago. Just wanted to pop in and say hello, and I hope you enjoyed it :)

9:21 PM  
Arthur Chaparyan said...

Thanks for dropping by! I hope you are still writing your beautiful poetry!

10:57 PM  
thegreatone said...

The smarter thing to do is to have a small steering wheel that the opponent cannot see from his car. Now you make sure you have an extra steering wheel in your car and throw that out, the opponent thinking that was your only one. And now you can swerve if you need to, insurance!

2:17 PM  
Mahdness said...

Classic example of game theory and credible threats.

2:37 AM  

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